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Housing inventory fell last week, but it won’t derail the spring bump

Housing Wire

Also, spreads between the 10-year yield and the 30-year mortgage got better last week, which is a big plus for the future if this trend continues. My model has active inventory growing at least 11,000-17,000 every week with higher rates. It’s critical to keep track of this data line as it shows price growth cooling down.

Mortgages 469
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How will mortgage rates impact seasonal inventory in 2024?

Housing Wire

How will mortgage rates impact seasonal inventory in 2024? Also, when mortgage rates rise, the inventory peak happens later in the year. However, when mortgage rates rise and demand gets hit, the price cut percentage data grows year over year. Is the seasonal bottom going to happen later than I want?

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Why home prices haven’t crashed even with high mortgage rates

Housing Wire

The most underreported housing story I’ve seen this year is that even with mortgage rates rising to 8%, the number of homes that took price cuts before they sold was 4% below 2022 levels. This happened even with higher home prices and higher mortgage rates in 2023. Weekly inventory change (Dec.

Mortgages 532
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Housing inventory defied all predictions in 2023

Housing Wire

Looking back on 2023, the inventory story was a big surprise even as mortgage rates headed toward 8%, as the data below will show. This didn’t happen once in 2023 — even with rising mortgage rates. Those reading the tracker would have understood why the housing market dynamics shifted on Nov.

Mortgages 512
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Why fewer homes are taking a price cut, even while inventory rises

Housing Wire

This calls into question a mortgage rate lockdown, as mortgage rates are also higher year over year. However, this data can move stronger in either direction when mortgage rates rise or fall aggressively. What is all this data pointing to? This is something I have been discussing for many months on CNBC.

Mortgages 512
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Is inflation or recession driving mortgage rates now?

Housing Wire

Even with its most significant component, shelter inflation, keeping core CPI higher than it should be, it’s been hard to accelerate the core data. Of course, if the Fed keeps talking about 1970s-style entrenched inflation, I will keep telling them to leave their disco pants at home because this isn’t the 1970s.

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Mortgage rates fall after softer labor data

Housing Wire

Mortgage rates are finally headed lower after a crazy week of jobs data showing that the economy isn’t going into recession. From BLS : Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 187,000 in July, and the unemployment rate changed little at 3.5 As I write this article, the 10-year yield is currently at 4.04%.

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