Remove articles housing-market-recession
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Why higher rates aren’t crashing home prices

Housing Wire

Home prices aren’t crashing, despite what the housing bubble boys are saying. The housing bubble boys are a crew that from 2012 to 2019 screamed housing crash every year. Well, it’s June 9, 2023, and home prices have been firm month to month, not showing anything that resembles the housing bubble crash years.

Mortgages 545
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The honey badger labor market will still bite housing

Housing Wire

This means the honey badger labor market will keep the Federal Reserve from pivoting anytime soon. . Since all my six recession red flags are up, the only data lines that I am focusing on regarding the cylce of economic expansion to recession are job openings and jobless claims data. This has been a theme of mine lately.

Marketing 479
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What happens after the Fed’s rate hike?

Housing Wire

Over the weekend, The Wall Street Journal brought up this point — that the Fed is mindful that household balance sheets are much better now due to the excess savings built up during the COVID recovery and they might need to raise rates again or keep them high to trigger their job loss recession to fight inflation.

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Wage growth downtrend kills 1970s inflation fear

Housing Wire

Since 2022 — as the labor market has been getting hotter with massive job gains and high job openings — the year-over-year wage growth data has been falling. Let this sink in; while the labor market was booming in 2022 and 2023, the fear of a wage spiral never materialized. I wrote recently about the 1970s inflation and mortgage rates.

Mortgages 472
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Are we back to a normal housing market?

Housing Wire

In the last few months in my articles for HousingWire, I have written that monthly supply has been rising and that this increasing supply was the most critical metric for the housing market, specifically the new home sales market. months and below is a good market for the builders — 4.4 Become a member today.

Marketing 515
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Housing inventory fell last week, but it won’t derail the spring bump

Housing Wire

Weekly housing inventory data — both active inventory and new listings — are prone to one-week moves that deviate from a trend, especially if people are going Easter egg hunting. But, despite the weekly moves, the one bright spot for housing is that housing inventory is growing on a year-over-year basis. 2022: 17.6%

Mortgages 427
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Solid jobs report sends mortgage rates lower

Housing Wire

The bond market saw that wage growth was cooling down, leaving the Federal Reserve with few reasons to keep the rate hike story going much longer. The Fed will not tolerate a tight labor market, or Americans on the lower end of the wage pool making more money. You don’t need to create a job-loss recession to bring inflation down.

Mortgages 525