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Will the 2025 housing market crash like 2008?

Housing Wire

housing market is flashing warning signs reminiscent of 2008: rising household debt burdens, persistent inflation and home prices that are outpacing incomes. Unlike the pre-2008 era, stricter lending standards and robust regulations have kept mortgage delinquency rates low, significantly lowering the odds of a catastrophic collapse.

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Mortgage applications climb as rates continue to decline

Housing Wire

As we enter the spring homebuying season, the purchase index was more than 4% higher than a year ago, and activity was up across all loan categories. Government purchase applications experienced an 11% increase helped by the FHA rate dropping to 6.34%. The refinance share of mortgage activity increased to 45.6%

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We just had the strongest refi week in months

Housing Wire

Mortgage rates moved lower last week, consistent with lower Treasury yields following the FOMC meeting and a volatile week for [the] stock market. The 30-year fixed rate declined to its lowest level in six weeks at 6.97%, said Joel Kan, MBAs vice president and deputy chief economist. from the week prior.

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FHA/VA purchase mortgage demand up 40% annually

Housing Wire

Last week saw steadier mortgage rates, as the FOMC meeting played as predicted, and market movements led to a small two-basis point increase in the 30-year conforming rate to 6.86%, said Mike Fratantoni , MBAs SVP and chief economist. The VA share of total applications increased to 13.4% from 13.3% the week prior.

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Purchase applications remain bright spot as rates increase

Housing Wire

Mortgage rates reached its highest level since January, following higher Treasury yields. Additional market volatility has added to the increase, keeping the mortgage-Treasury spread wider than it was earlier this year. The adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) share of activity increased to 7.5% from 12.6%

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Mortgage applications drop after weeks of growth

Housing Wire

That’s according to the latest data from the Mortgage Bankers Associations (MBA) weekly mortgage applications survey for the week ending March 14, 2025. The Market Composite Index, which measures mortgage loan application volume, decreased 6.2% The refinance share of mortgage activity decreased to 42.0%

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Mortgage applications continue to slump

Housing Wire

Refinance activity dipped again, as mortgage rates remained close to 7%, and borrowers hold out for a bigger decline in rates,” commented Joel Kan , MBAs vice president and deputy chief economist. The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with jumbo loan balances decreased to 6.88% from 6.90%.